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Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Why Texas will say no to the SEC.

If you surf around the web reading all of the expansion rumors you will see Texas and Texas A&M popping-up as SEC candidates. The reason is the idea that the Big 10 will poach Mizzou and Nebraska in their expansion, leaving the Big 12 as a 10 team conference and unable to hold a championship game. Should the Big 10 become the Big 16 the idea (much of which seems to be supported by SEC commish Slive) is that the SEC will follow suit. This would mean the SEC grows to 16 teams and lands the crown jewel of Texas money. However, everyone seems resigned to the idea that Texas wants to come into the SEC. No one has discussed the option of the Big 12 just picking up two more teams. Why wouldn't the Big 12 just add TCU and Houston?No one has discussed the reasons why Texas may say no. Well here are the two biggest reasons why Texas will not wish to jump to the SEC:

1. Texas won't be the top dog in the SEC (they won't even be second)
Right now Texas only has to play one game in the regular season in which they have a realistic chance of loosing. Now, we understand that anything can happen and anyone can be upset, but outside of Oklahoma the Longhorns don't play any other legit team. If Texas and Oklahoma split their series in any given decade then chances are the Longhorns are in a BCS game 5 out of every 10 years. Chances are also good that they could loose to Oklahoma in one of those 5 years and Oklahoma could run the table and get in the National Title game. In that case having only one loss to Oklahoma would put the Longhorns into a BCS game with an at-large bid. So right now the Longhorns are looking at a BCS game 6 out of every 10 years. At least 2 of those 6 BCS games will probably be a National Title game.
In the SEC Texas will be third to Alabama and Florida. In addition the Longhorns will be in a situation where they may have to play LSU, Georgia, Tennessee, Auburn, and Bama or Florida. Also, there will be Arkansas, the Missisyphillus schools, South Carolina, and Kentucky. No more Baylor, Iowa St., Colorado, and the rest of the Big 12 cupcakes. Texas will be exposed and eliminated from National Title contention far more often than they are now.

2. Texas does not need SEC money
I believe that the Texas athletic department pulled in about $120 million last year. Texas does not need SEC money because they make their own money. Now Texas A&M or Clempsun could use the money but Texas dose not. Even if the SEC pulls in more money we are talking about a 14 or 16 way split. Should the Big 12 add TCU and Houston then they are only in a 12 way split. The amount of money that Texas pulls in and the amount of money that the Big 12 pulls in should they replace two teams will stay about the same. Texas will get what they are already getting and that would probably add up to about the same as what they would get in a 16 way split.

Georgia Tech, Clempsun, Florida State, and North Carolina or Miami will probably be the newest additions to the SEC.

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