Monday, August 2, 2010
Richt and the Hot Seat.
We here at S&G apologize for the erratic posts of late but the summer time often presents distractions. With the upcoming SEC Football season right around the corner we figured it is time to tackle some of the top stories for the upcoming season.
In our part of Dixieland one of the biggest story is Mark Richt and his status on the ever present "Hot Seat"(as well as the unspoken rule of Southern haberdashery which states that turtlenecks is super gay and you sir have violated that rule). Now, if you talk to fans of other programs depending on who you talk to you get one of two responses to the Richt question; a) Richt is soft and Georgia should fire him (Florida, Alabama fan) or b) He wins more than he looses Georgia would be crazy to fire him (South Carolina, Vanderbilt fans). We bring this up for the most obvious of reasons, Georgia needs to decide if it wants to be grouped with the Commodores and Gamecocks or if they want to be grouped with the SEC teams in the thick of the national title hunt every year. This is a question that is going to divide Bulldog nation so we want to look at the overall record of the Richt tenure.
Mark Richt is 90-27 in nine seasons with the Bulldogs and it doesn't take a math major to know that Richt averages 10 wins per season. Richt has also taken the Dawgs to Atlanta three times to represent the SEC east in what is now the defacto National Title Game. Richt has won two of those three games. Richt has taken his team to a bowl game every year and is 7-2 in those games. The average sane person would look at this and say your coach is 90-27; 2-1 in SEC title games; and 7-2 in bowl games and did all of that in the SEC how is he considered on the hot seat? However, this is not the Big Televinie and being really good in the SEC is sometimes just not good enough. We need to look at his record a little closer.
-Non-Conference Games: Now let us just say that some of the non-conference stuff is not Richt's fault. If you play in the SEC and you have a permanent in state game with an ACC school then why in the world would you schedule anyone tougher than Southern Miss for other non-conf. games? Oklahoma St. and that debacle should rest squarely on the shoulders of the AD that made that decision. You play in the SEC you don't need to schedule big out of conference games, Georgia needs the wins not the extra money. Not counting the Georgia Tech game in any given 10 year stretch the Dawgs play 30 non-conf. games and the only thing that is acceptable for a program that wants to vie for the National Title is a 30-0 record in those games. Anything less than 30-0 in these games is unacceptable. Richt is 23-1 in these games because a number of seasons were comprised of only 11 regular season games. However, he has lost one more game than is acceptable at the University of Georgia.
-Georgia Tech: This is an intense in-state rivalry game with a team from a major conference. In any 10 year stretch a Georgia coach must be no worse than 8-2 in this game. Tech is an inferior program and must be dominated. Richt is 8-1 in this game so a win this year would make him better than expected against Tech and a loss would put him where a Georgia fan should expect their coach to be against Tech.
-Kentucky and Vanderbilt: I can not stress this enough The University of Georgia should NEVER, EVER loose to Kentucky or Vanderbilt. Georgia should be so good that if they are having a terrible day and the Wildcats or Commodores are playing their best game of the season the Dawgs should still win. In 10 years a Georgia coach should be 20-0 against these schools. Richt is 15-3 and that alone is grounds for firing.
-South Carolina: South Carolina is an inferior program from a smaller state, and they must share talent with another in-state program that has traditionally been superior to the Gamecocks. However, the Cocks care about football unlike Vandy and Kentucky. The Cocks try really hard and don't shy away from paying for big name coaches. However, the University of Georgia should expect to be 9-1 against the Gamecocks in any 10 year stretch. Richt is 7-2 and this years game with the Cocks is far from a foregone conclusion. Richt also allowed a loss to the Cocks in 07' to keep the Dawgs out of the SEC and potentially National Title games. This alone is grounds for firing.
-Tennessee: Tennessee if taken in any 10 year window is about the same program as Georgia. While sometimes UT is down and UGA up that role has switched a number of times. In a 10 year window the Dawgs should be 5-5 against Tennessee. Richt is 5-4 so like with G.T. a win this year would have him doing better than expected and a loss would put him right where he belongs.
-Florida: Since 1990 the Gators have dominated the Dawgs and that is unacceptable for Georgia. It has not only been Spurrier and Meyer, Zook also enjoyed success against the Dawgs. To truly contend the Dawgs should be 5-5 against Florida in a 10 year stretch. Richt is 2-7. Unacceptable and grounds for firing.
-Auburn: Another fierce rivalry but yet another inferior school and program. By simple virtue of being in the SEC and being a program with tradition and success the Tigers should be a yearly challenge. However, in a 10 year stretch the Dawgs should be 6-4 against Auburn. Richt is 6-3, so like with Tennessee and G.T. a win would give him more success than expected and a loss would put him on par.
-SEC West- Georgia pulls two teams from the West in addition to Auburn every year. LSU and Alabama are equals to Georgia and Ole Miss, Miss St., and Arkansas are by far inferior programs. Losses to Ole Miss and Miss St are unacceptable and should be considered the same as a loss to Kentucky or Vanderbilt. Georgia should experience the same level of success against Arkansas as they experience against South Carolina. Alabama and LSU are like Florida and Tennessee a 50/50 split with those teams is acceptable. Georgia should be 16-4 in a 10 year stretch against these schools. Richt is 15-3 (one loss to Bama and two against LSU) so a loss this year puts him on par, 2 losses is unacceptable, and two wins would have Richt at better than expected.
Post-Season: If the Dawgs are winning at the pace that is outlined above then they should represent the SEC east in Atlanta 3 times in a given decade. Richt has done that. They should also win 2 of those 3 appearances. Richt has done that. Also, Georgia should be in a bowl game every year, Richt has done that. Georgia should be 8-2 in those bowl games. Richt is 7-2 so he must go to a bowl and win this year to fulfill the post-season expectations.
Overall a Georgia Coach if coaching 10 years in 12 game seasons should be:
Non-Conf. Games: 38-2
SEC West Games: 22-8
SEC East Games: 39-11
SEC Champ.: 2-1
Due to the number of 11 game seasons Richt would not have quite as many wins because of fewer non-conf games however he should have no more than 24 losses and right now Richt has 27, and little chance of going undefeated this year. So if we take nothing but the record under consideration Richt should in fact be fired.